Grow Capital Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0982
| GRWC Stock | USD 0.08 0.02 20.00% |
Grow |
Grow Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0982
The tendency of Grow Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.1 after 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.1 | about 78.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grow Capital to stay under $ 0.1 after 90 days from now is about 78.05 (This Grow Capital probability density function shows the probability of Grow Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grow Capital price to stay between its current price of $ 0.08 and $ 0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grow Capital has a beta of 0.96. This usually indicates Grow Capital market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Grow Capital is expected to follow. Moreover Grow Capital has an alpha of 1.0462, implying that it can generate a 1.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grow Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grow Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grow Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grow Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grow Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grow Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grow Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grow Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grow Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Grow Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grow Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grow Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grow Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Grow Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Grow Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Grow Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grow Capital currently holds 583.53 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Grow Capital has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Grow Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grow Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grow Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grow Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 M. | |
| Grow Capital currently holds about 1.1 M in cash with (636.71 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of Grow Capital shares are held by company insiders |
Grow Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grow Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grow Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grow Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M |
Grow Capital Technical Analysis
Grow Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grow Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grow Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grow Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grow Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Grow Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grow Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grow Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grow Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grow Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grow Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grow Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Grow Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Grow Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Grow Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grow Capital currently holds 583.53 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Grow Capital has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Grow Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grow Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grow Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grow Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 M. | |
| Grow Capital currently holds about 1.1 M in cash with (636.71 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of Grow Capital shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Grow Pink Sheet
Grow Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grow Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grow with respect to the benefits of owning Grow Capital security.