Gelstat Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.13E-4
| GSAC Stock | USD 0.0004 0.0001 33.33% |
GelStat |
GelStat Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 4.13E-4
The tendency of GelStat Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.0004 after 90 days |
| 0.0004 | 90 days | 0.0004 | about 88.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GelStat Corp to stay under $ 0.0004 after 90 days from now is about 88.21 (This GelStat Corp probability density function shows the probability of GelStat Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GelStat Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0004 and $ 0.0004 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GelStat Corp has a beta of -1.7. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GelStat Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GelStat Corp is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that GelStat Corp has an alpha of 2.0356, implying that it can generate a 2.04 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GelStat Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GelStat Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GelStat Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GelStat Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GelStat Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GelStat Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GelStat Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GelStat Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000053 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
GelStat Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GelStat Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GelStat Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GelStat Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GelStat Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GelStat Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| GelStat Corp currently holds 375.15 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. GelStat Corp has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GelStat Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GelStat Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GelStat Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GelStat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GelStat Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.67 K. Net Loss for the year was (475.24 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4 K. | |
| GelStat Corp currently holds about 8.83 K in cash with (204.86 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
GelStat Corp Technical Analysis
GelStat Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GelStat Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GelStat Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing GelStat Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GelStat Corp Predictive Forecast Models
GelStat Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many GelStat Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GelStat Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GelStat Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about GelStat Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GelStat Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GelStat Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GelStat Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GelStat Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| GelStat Corp currently holds 375.15 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. GelStat Corp has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GelStat Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GelStat Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GelStat Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GelStat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GelStat Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.67 K. Net Loss for the year was (475.24 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4 K. | |
| GelStat Corp currently holds about 8.83 K in cash with (204.86 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in GelStat Pink Sheet
GelStat Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether GelStat Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GelStat with respect to the benefits of owning GelStat Corp security.