Global Ship Lease Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 25.57

GSL-PB Preferred Stock  USD 26.21  0.11  0.42%   
Global Ship's future price is the expected price of Global Ship instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Ship Lease performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Ship Backtesting, Global Ship Valuation, Global Ship Correlation, Global Ship Hype Analysis, Global Ship Volatility, Global Ship History as well as Global Ship Performance.
  
Please specify Global Ship's target price for which you would like Global Ship odds to be computed.

Global Ship Target Price Odds to finish below 25.57

The tendency of Global Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 25.57  or more in 90 days
 26.21 90 days 25.57 
nearly 4.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Ship to drop to $ 25.57  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.53 (This Global Ship Lease probability density function shows the probability of Global Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Ship Lease price to stay between $ 25.57  and its current price of $26.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Ship has a beta of 0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Ship average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Ship Lease will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Ship Lease has an alpha of 0.0155, implying that it can generate a 0.0155 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Ship Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Ship

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Ship Lease. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5926.2126.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5726.1926.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4126.0226.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0726.1726.28
Details

Global Ship Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Ship is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Ship's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Ship Lease, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Ship within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Global Ship Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Ship for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Ship Lease can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Ship Lease has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Global Ship Lease has accumulated 880.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 258.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Global Ship Lease has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Global Ship until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Global Ship's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Global Ship Lease sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Global to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Global Ship's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Global Ship Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Ship's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Ship's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.5 M

Global Ship Technical Analysis

Global Ship's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Ship Lease. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Ship Predictive Forecast Models

Global Ship's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Ship's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Ship's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Ship Lease

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Ship for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Ship Lease help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Ship Lease has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Global Ship Lease has accumulated 880.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 258.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Global Ship Lease has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Global Ship until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Global Ship's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Global Ship Lease sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Global to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Global Ship's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Global Preferred Stock

Global Ship financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Ship security.