Getabec Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.84

GTB Stock  THB 0.72  0.01  1.37%   
Getabec Public's future price is the expected price of Getabec Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Getabec Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Getabec Public Backtesting, Getabec Public Valuation, Getabec Public Correlation, Getabec Public Hype Analysis, Getabec Public Volatility, Getabec Public History as well as Getabec Public Performance.
  
Please specify Getabec Public's target price for which you would like Getabec Public odds to be computed.

Getabec Public Target Price Odds to finish over 5.84

The tendency of Getabec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.84  or more in 90 days
 0.72 90 days 5.84 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Getabec Public to move over  5.84  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Getabec Public probability density function shows the probability of Getabec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Getabec Public price to stay between its current price of  0.72  and  5.84  at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Getabec Public has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Getabec Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Getabec Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Getabec Public has an alpha of 0.0414, implying that it can generate a 0.0414 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Getabec Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Getabec Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Getabec Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.732.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.742.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.732.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.700.730.76
Details

Getabec Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Getabec Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Getabec Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Getabec Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Getabec Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Getabec Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Getabec Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Getabec Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Getabec Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Getabec Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 884.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 124.78 M.
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Getabec Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Getabec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Getabec Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Getabec Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding960 M

Getabec Public Technical Analysis

Getabec Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Getabec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Getabec Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Getabec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Getabec Public Predictive Forecast Models

Getabec Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Getabec Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Getabec Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Getabec Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Getabec Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Getabec Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Getabec Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Getabec Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 884.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 124.78 M.
About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Getabec Stock

Getabec Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Getabec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Getabec with respect to the benefits of owning Getabec Public security.