Great American Bancorp Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 31.0
| GTPSDelisted Stock | USD 31.25 0.00 0.00% |
Great |
Great American Target Price Odds to finish below 31.0
The tendency of Great Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.00 or more in 90 days |
| 31.25 | 90 days | 31.00 | nearly 4.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great American to drop to $ 31.00 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.72 (This Great American Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Great Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great American Bancorp price to stay between $ 31.00 and its current price of $31.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Great American has a beta of 0.0344. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Great American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great American Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great American Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Great American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great American Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great American Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Great American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great American Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Great American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Great American Technical Analysis
Great American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great American Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great American Predictive Forecast Models
Great American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great American's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great American Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great American Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great American is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Great American has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Great Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Great American Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Great American's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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