Getty Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.76

GTY Stock  USD 32.42  0.07  0.22%   
Getty Realty's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Getty Realty. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Getty Realty based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Getty Realty over a specific time period. For example, GTY Option Call 20-12-2024 32 is a CALL option contract on Getty Realty's common stock with a strick price of 32.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-02 at 12:25:13 for $1.08 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $4.8. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Getty options

Closest to current price Getty long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Getty Realty's future price is the expected price of Getty Realty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Getty Realty performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Getty Realty Backtesting, Getty Realty Valuation, Getty Realty Correlation, Getty Realty Hype Analysis, Getty Realty Volatility, Getty Realty History as well as Getty Realty Performance.
For more information on how to buy Getty Stock please use our How to Invest in Getty Realty guide.
  
At this time, Getty Realty's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 31.96 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.60). Please specify Getty Realty's target price for which you would like Getty Realty odds to be computed.

Getty Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 32.76

The tendency of Getty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 32.76  or more in 90 days
 32.42 90 days 32.76 
about 5.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Getty Realty to move over $ 32.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.33 (This Getty Realty probability density function shows the probability of Getty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Getty Realty price to stay between its current price of $ 32.42  and $ 32.76  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Getty Realty has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Getty Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Getty Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Getty Realty has an alpha of 0.0344, implying that it can generate a 0.0344 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Getty Realty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Getty Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Getty Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Getty Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4332.3533.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1932.1133.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.8931.8132.73
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.1232.0035.52
Details

Getty Realty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Getty Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Getty Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Getty Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Getty Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Getty Realty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Getty Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Getty Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Getty Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Getty Realty Corp. Shares Acquired by UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC - MarketBeat

Getty Realty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Getty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Getty Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Getty Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 M

Getty Realty Technical Analysis

Getty Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Getty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Getty Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Getty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Getty Realty Predictive Forecast Models

Getty Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Getty Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Getty Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Getty Realty

Checking the ongoing alerts about Getty Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Getty Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Getty Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Getty Realty Corp. Shares Acquired by UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Getty Stock Analysis

When running Getty Realty's price analysis, check to measure Getty Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Getty Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Getty Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Getty Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Getty Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Getty Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.