Guild Esports Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0001
| GULDF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Guild |
Guild Esports Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0001
The tendency of Guild Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0001 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.0001 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guild Esports to drop to $ 0.0001 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Guild Esports Plc probability density function shows the probability of Guild Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guild Esports Plc price to stay between $ 0.0001 and its current price of $0.0077 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 4.32 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Guild Esports will likely underperform. In addition to that Guild Esports Plc has an alpha of 2.2743, implying that it can generate a 2.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guild Esports Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guild Esports
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guild Esports Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guild Esports' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guild Esports Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guild Esports is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guild Esports' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guild Esports Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guild Esports within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Guild Esports Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guild Esports for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guild Esports Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guild Esports Plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guild Esports Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guild Esports Plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 M. | |
| Guild Esports Plc has accumulated about 6.11 M in cash with (5.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guild Esports Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guild Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guild Esports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guild Esports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 518.6 M |
Guild Esports Technical Analysis
Guild Esports' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guild Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guild Esports Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guild Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guild Esports Predictive Forecast Models
Guild Esports' time-series forecasting models is one of many Guild Esports' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guild Esports' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guild Esports Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guild Esports for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guild Esports Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guild Esports Plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guild Esports Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guild Esports Plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 M. | |
| Guild Esports Plc has accumulated about 6.11 M in cash with (5.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Guild Pink Sheet
Guild Esports financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guild Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guild with respect to the benefits of owning Guild Esports security.