Gulistan Spinning (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.16
| GUSM Stock | 8.76 0.76 7.98% |
Gulistan |
Gulistan Spinning Target Price Odds to finish below 7.16
The tendency of Gulistan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.16 or more in 90 days |
| 8.76 | 90 days | 7.16 | about 6.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulistan Spinning to drop to 7.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.29 (This Gulistan Spinning Mills probability density function shows the probability of Gulistan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulistan Spinning Mills price to stay between 7.16 and its current price of 8.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gulistan Spinning will likely underperform. Additionally Gulistan Spinning Mills has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gulistan Spinning Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gulistan Spinning
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulistan Spinning Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulistan Spinning Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulistan Spinning is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulistan Spinning's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulistan Spinning Mills, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulistan Spinning within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Gulistan Spinning Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulistan Spinning for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulistan Spinning Mills can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulistan Spinning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gulistan Spinning has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Gulistan Spinning Technical Analysis
Gulistan Spinning's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulistan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulistan Spinning Mills. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulistan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulistan Spinning Predictive Forecast Models
Gulistan Spinning's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulistan Spinning's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulistan Spinning's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gulistan Spinning Mills
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulistan Spinning for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulistan Spinning Mills help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gulistan Spinning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gulistan Spinning has high historical volatility and very poor performance |