Greenville Federal Financial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 10.85

GVFF Stock  USD 7.00  0.20  2.78%   
Greenville Federal's future price is the expected price of Greenville Federal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Greenville Federal Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Greenville Federal Backtesting, Greenville Federal Valuation, Greenville Federal Correlation, Greenville Federal Hype Analysis, Greenville Federal Volatility, Greenville Federal History as well as Greenville Federal Performance.
  
Please specify Greenville Federal's target price for which you would like Greenville Federal odds to be computed.

Greenville Federal Target Price Odds to finish over 10.85

The tendency of Greenville Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.85  or more in 90 days
 7.00 90 days 10.85 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greenville Federal to move over $ 10.85  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Greenville Federal Financial probability density function shows the probability of Greenville Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greenville Federal price to stay between its current price of $ 7.00  and $ 10.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Greenville Federal has a beta of 0.27. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Greenville Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greenville Federal Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greenville Federal Financial has an alpha of 0.0543, implying that it can generate a 0.0543 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Greenville Federal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greenville Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenville Federal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.787.008.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.797.018.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.837.058.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.887.077.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greenville Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greenville Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greenville Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greenville Federal.

Greenville Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greenville Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greenville Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greenville Federal Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greenville Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Greenville Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greenville Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greenville Federal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greenville Federal Financial currently holds about 19.38 M in cash with (393 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.15, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Greenville Federal Technical Analysis

Greenville Federal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greenville Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenville Federal Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greenville Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Greenville Federal Predictive Forecast Models

Greenville Federal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Greenville Federal's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greenville Federal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Greenville Federal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greenville Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greenville Federal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greenville Federal Financial currently holds about 19.38 M in cash with (393 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.15, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Greenville Pink Sheet

Greenville Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greenville Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greenville with respect to the benefits of owning Greenville Federal security.