Golden Ventures (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.98

GVREIT Stock  THB 6.85  0.05  0.72%   
Golden Ventures' future price is the expected price of Golden Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden Ventures Leasehold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden Ventures Backtesting, Golden Ventures Valuation, Golden Ventures Correlation, Golden Ventures Hype Analysis, Golden Ventures Volatility, Golden Ventures History as well as Golden Ventures Performance.
  
Please specify Golden Ventures' target price for which you would like Golden Ventures odds to be computed.

Golden Ventures Target Price Odds to finish over 4.98

The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4.98  in 90 days
 6.85 90 days 4.98 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Ventures to stay above  4.98  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Golden Ventures Leasehold probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Ventures Leasehold price to stay between  4.98  and its current price of 6.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Golden Ventures has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Golden Ventures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golden Ventures Leasehold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Golden Ventures Leasehold has an alpha of 0.2745, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Golden Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Ventures Leasehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.006.858.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.906.758.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.227.088.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.396.727.06
Details

Golden Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Ventures Leasehold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Golden Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Ventures Leasehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Golden Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding814.8 M

Golden Ventures Technical Analysis

Golden Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Ventures Leasehold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Golden Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Ventures' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden Ventures Leasehold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Ventures Leasehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Golden Stock

Golden Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Ventures security.