Great Wall Motor Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.28

GWLLF Stock  USD 1.60  0.07  4.19%   
Great Wall's future price is the expected price of Great Wall instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great Wall Motor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Great Wall Backtesting, Great Wall Valuation, Great Wall Correlation, Great Wall Hype Analysis, Great Wall Volatility, Great Wall History as well as Great Wall Performance.
  
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Great Wall Target Price Odds to finish over 1.28

The tendency of Great Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 1.28  in 90 days
 1.60 90 days 1.28 
about 92.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Wall to stay above $ 1.28  in 90 days from now is about 92.51 (This Great Wall Motor probability density function shows the probability of Great Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Wall Motor price to stay between $ 1.28  and its current price of $1.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great Wall Motor has a beta of -0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Great Wall are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Great Wall Motor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Great Wall Motor has an alpha of 0.536, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Great Wall Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great Wall

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Wall Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.676.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.415.95
Details

Great Wall Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Wall is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Wall's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Wall Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Wall within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Great Wall Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Wall for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Wall Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Wall Motor may become a speculative penny stock
Great Wall Motor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Great Wall Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Wall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Wall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 B

Great Wall Technical Analysis

Great Wall's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Wall Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great Wall Predictive Forecast Models

Great Wall's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Wall's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Wall's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great Wall Motor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Wall for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Wall Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great Wall Motor may become a speculative penny stock
Great Wall Motor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Great Pink Sheet

Great Wall financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great Wall security.