FD Technologies (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.83

GYQ Stock  EUR 21.40  2.40  12.63%   
FD Technologies' future price is the expected price of FD Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FD Technologies PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FD Technologies Backtesting, FD Technologies Valuation, FD Technologies Correlation, FD Technologies Hype Analysis, FD Technologies Volatility, FD Technologies History as well as FD Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify FD Technologies' target price for which you would like FD Technologies odds to be computed.

FD Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 21.83

The tendency of GYQ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 21.83  after 90 days
 21.40 90 days 21.83 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FD Technologies to stay under € 21.83  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FD Technologies PLC probability density function shows the probability of GYQ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FD Technologies PLC price to stay between its current price of € 21.40  and € 21.83  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FD Technologies PLC has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FD Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FD Technologies PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FD Technologies PLC has an alpha of 0.2573, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FD Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FD Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FD Technologies PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.8021.4023.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5819.1823.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.9522.5524.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4021.4021.40
Details

FD Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FD Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FD Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FD Technologies PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FD Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

FD Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FD Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FD Technologies PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

FD Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GYQ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FD Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FD Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.6 M

FD Technologies Technical Analysis

FD Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GYQ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FD Technologies PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing GYQ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FD Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

FD Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many FD Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FD Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FD Technologies PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about FD Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FD Technologies PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for GYQ Stock Analysis

When running FD Technologies' price analysis, check to measure FD Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FD Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of FD Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FD Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FD Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FD Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.