Gozco Plantations (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.02
| GZCO Stock | IDR 98.00 2.00 2.08% |
Gozco |
Gozco Plantations Target Price Odds to finish over 97.02
The tendency of Gozco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 97.02 in 90 days |
| 98.00 | 90 days | 97.02 | about 23.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gozco Plantations to stay above 97.02 in 90 days from now is about 23.65 (This Gozco Plantations Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Gozco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gozco Plantations Tbk price to stay between 97.02 and its current price of 98.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gozco Plantations Tbk has a beta of -0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gozco Plantations are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gozco Plantations Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gozco Plantations Tbk has an alpha of 0.1978, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gozco Plantations Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gozco Plantations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gozco Plantations Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gozco Plantations Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gozco Plantations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gozco Plantations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gozco Plantations Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gozco Plantations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Gozco Plantations Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gozco Plantations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gozco Plantations Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gozco Plantations Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gozco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gozco Plantations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gozco Plantations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 240.6 B |
Gozco Plantations Technical Analysis
Gozco Plantations' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gozco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gozco Plantations Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gozco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gozco Plantations Predictive Forecast Models
Gozco Plantations' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gozco Plantations' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gozco Plantations' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gozco Plantations Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gozco Plantations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gozco Plantations Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Gozco Stock
Gozco Plantations financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gozco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gozco with respect to the benefits of owning Gozco Plantations security.