JSC Halyk (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.69
| H4L1 Stock | EUR 18.00 0.10 0.56% |
JSC |
JSC Halyk Target Price Odds to finish below 10.69
The tendency of JSC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 10.69 or more in 90 days |
| 18.00 | 90 days | 10.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JSC Halyk to drop to € 10.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JSC Halyk bank probability density function shows the probability of JSC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JSC Halyk bank price to stay between € 10.69 and its current price of €18.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JSC Halyk has a beta of 0.63. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, JSC Halyk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JSC Halyk bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JSC Halyk bank has an alpha of 0.1999, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JSC Halyk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JSC Halyk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JSC Halyk bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JSC Halyk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JSC Halyk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JSC Halyk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JSC Halyk bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JSC Halyk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
JSC Halyk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JSC Halyk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JSC Halyk bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JSC Halyk bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JSC Halyk generates negative cash flow from operations |
JSC Halyk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JSC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JSC Halyk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JSC Halyk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 B |
JSC Halyk Technical Analysis
JSC Halyk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JSC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JSC Halyk bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing JSC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JSC Halyk Predictive Forecast Models
JSC Halyk's time-series forecasting models is one of many JSC Halyk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JSC Halyk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JSC Halyk bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about JSC Halyk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JSC Halyk bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JSC Halyk bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| JSC Halyk generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in JSC Stock
JSC Halyk financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSC with respect to the benefits of owning JSC Halyk security.