Hawaiian Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.46
| HADelisted Stock | USD 18.00 0.68 3.93% |
Hawaiian |
Hawaiian Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 16.46
The tendency of Hawaiian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.46 or more in 90 days |
| 18.00 | 90 days | 16.46 | about 82.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hawaiian Holdings to drop to $ 16.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.33 (This Hawaiian Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hawaiian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hawaiian Holdings price to stay between $ 16.46 and its current price of $18.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.55 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Hawaiian Holdings has a beta of 0.94. This usually indicates Hawaiian Holdings market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hawaiian Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Hawaiian Holdings has an alpha of 0.4343, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hawaiian Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hawaiian Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hawaiian Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hawaiian Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hawaiian Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hawaiian Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hawaiian Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hawaiian Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Hawaiian Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hawaiian Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hawaiian Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hawaiian Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Hawaiian Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.72 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (260.49 M) with gross profit of 227.08 M. | |
| Hawaiian Holdings reports about 1.43 B in cash with (160 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Hawaiian Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hawaiian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hawaiian Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hawaiian Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 925.7 M |
Hawaiian Holdings Technical Analysis
Hawaiian Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hawaiian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hawaiian Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hawaiian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hawaiian Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Hawaiian Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hawaiian Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hawaiian Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hawaiian Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hawaiian Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hawaiian Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hawaiian Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Hawaiian Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.72 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (260.49 M) with gross profit of 227.08 M. | |
| Hawaiian Holdings reports about 1.43 B in cash with (160 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Hawaiian Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Hawaiian Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Hawaiian Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like |