Handelsinvest Danske (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.03
| HAIDKOBL | DKK 98.04 0.11 0.11% |
Handelsinvest |
Handelsinvest Danske Target Price Odds to finish below 98.03
The tendency of Handelsinvest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 98.03 or more in 90 days |
| 98.04 | 90 days | 98.03 | about 92.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Handelsinvest Danske to drop to kr 98.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.05 (This Handelsinvest Danske Obligationer probability density function shows the probability of Handelsinvest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Handelsinvest Danske price to stay between kr 98.03 and its current price of kr98.04 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Handelsinvest Danske has a beta of 0.04. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Handelsinvest Danske average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Handelsinvest Danske Obligationer will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Handelsinvest Danske Obligationer has an alpha of 0.0086, implying that it can generate a 0.008585 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Handelsinvest Danske Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Handelsinvest Danske
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Handelsinvest Danske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Handelsinvest Danske Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Handelsinvest Danske is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Handelsinvest Danske's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Handelsinvest Danske Obligationer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Handelsinvest Danske within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.04 |
Handelsinvest Danske Technical Analysis
Handelsinvest Danske's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Handelsinvest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Handelsinvest Danske Obligationer. In general, you should focus on analyzing Handelsinvest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Handelsinvest Danske Predictive Forecast Models
Handelsinvest Danske's time-series forecasting models is one of many Handelsinvest Danske's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Handelsinvest Danske's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Handelsinvest Danske in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Handelsinvest Danske's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Handelsinvest Danske options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Handelsinvest Stock
Handelsinvest Danske financial ratios help investors to determine whether Handelsinvest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Handelsinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Handelsinvest Danske security.