Hana Microelectronics (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.13
| HANA Stock | THB 28.50 0.75 2.70% |
Hana |
Hana Microelectronics Target Price Odds to finish over 28.13
The tendency of Hana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 28.13 in 90 days |
| 28.50 | 90 days | 28.13 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hana Microelectronics to stay above 28.13 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hana Microelectronics Public probability density function shows the probability of Hana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hana Microelectronics price to stay between 28.13 and its current price of 28.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hana Microelectronics has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates Hana Microelectronics Public market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hana Microelectronics is expected to follow. Additionally Hana Microelectronics Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hana Microelectronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hana Microelectronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hana Microelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hana Microelectronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hana Microelectronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hana Microelectronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hana Microelectronics Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hana Microelectronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Hana Microelectronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hana Microelectronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hana Microelectronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hana Microelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hana Microelectronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hana Microelectronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hana Microelectronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 804.9 M |
Hana Microelectronics Technical Analysis
Hana Microelectronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hana Microelectronics Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hana Microelectronics Predictive Forecast Models
Hana Microelectronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hana Microelectronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hana Microelectronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hana Microelectronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hana Microelectronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hana Microelectronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hana Microelectronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hana Stock
Hana Microelectronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hana with respect to the benefits of owning Hana Microelectronics security.