Hanza AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.07

HANZA Stock  SEK 68.05  2.50  3.81%   
Hanza AB's future price is the expected price of Hanza AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hanza AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hanza AB Backtesting, Hanza AB Valuation, Hanza AB Correlation, Hanza AB Hype Analysis, Hanza AB Volatility, Hanza AB History as well as Hanza AB Performance.
  
Please specify Hanza AB's target price for which you would like Hanza AB odds to be computed.

Hanza AB Target Price Odds to finish below 65.07

The tendency of Hanza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 65.07  or more in 90 days
 68.05 90 days 65.07 
about 72.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanza AB to drop to kr 65.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.08 (This Hanza AB probability density function shows the probability of Hanza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanza AB price to stay between kr 65.07  and its current price of kr68.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hanza AB has a beta of 0.0579. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hanza AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanza AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanza AB has an alpha of 0.1489, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hanza AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hanza AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanza AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.0768.0571.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.9954.9774.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.8361.8164.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.8667.2269.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanza AB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanza AB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanza AB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanza AB.

Hanza AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanza AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanza AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanza AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanza AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
6.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Hanza AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanza AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanza AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanza AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hanza AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hanza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hanza AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hanza AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.8 M

Hanza AB Technical Analysis

Hanza AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanza AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hanza AB Predictive Forecast Models

Hanza AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanza AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanza AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hanza AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanza AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanza AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hanza AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Hanza Stock Analysis

When running Hanza AB's price analysis, check to measure Hanza AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hanza AB is operating at the current time. Most of Hanza AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hanza AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hanza AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hanza AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.