Vaneck Natural Resources Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 51.01
| HAP Etf | USD 50.50 0.29 0.57% |
VanEck |
VanEck Natural Target Price Odds to finish below 51.01
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 51.01 after 90 days |
| 50.50 | 90 days | 51.01 | about 45.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Natural to stay under $ 51.01 after 90 days from now is about 45.33 (This VanEck Natural Resources probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Natural Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 50.50 and $ 51.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.78 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon VanEck Natural Resources has a beta of -0.0424. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VanEck Natural are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VanEck Natural Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VanEck Natural Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VanEck Natural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Natural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Natural Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck Natural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Natural Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
VanEck Natural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Natural Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VanEck Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 100.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
VanEck Natural Technical Analysis
VanEck Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Natural Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Natural Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Natural's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Natural's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Natural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Natural Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Natural Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VanEck Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 100.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out VanEck Natural Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Natural Correlation, VanEck Natural Hype Analysis, VanEck Natural Volatility, VanEck Natural History as well as VanEck Natural Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of VanEck Natural Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.