Harboes Bryggeri (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 152.98
| HARB-B Stock | DKK 157.50 2.00 1.29% |
Harboes |
Harboes Bryggeri Target Price Odds to finish below 152.98
The tendency of Harboes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 152.98 or more in 90 days |
| 157.50 | 90 days | 152.98 | about 12.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harboes Bryggeri to drop to kr 152.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.46 (This Harboes Bryggeri AS probability density function shows the probability of Harboes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harboes Bryggeri price to stay between kr 152.98 and its current price of kr157.5 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Harboes Bryggeri has a beta of 0.76. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Harboes Bryggeri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Harboes Bryggeri AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Harboes Bryggeri AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Harboes Bryggeri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harboes Bryggeri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harboes Bryggeri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Harboes Bryggeri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harboes Bryggeri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harboes Bryggeri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harboes Bryggeri AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harboes Bryggeri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Harboes Bryggeri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harboes Bryggeri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harboes Bryggeri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harboes Bryggeri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Harboes Bryggeri has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Harboes Bryggeri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harboes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harboes Bryggeri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harboes Bryggeri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 16 M |
Harboes Bryggeri Technical Analysis
Harboes Bryggeri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harboes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harboes Bryggeri AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harboes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Harboes Bryggeri Predictive Forecast Models
Harboes Bryggeri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harboes Bryggeri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harboes Bryggeri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Harboes Bryggeri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harboes Bryggeri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harboes Bryggeri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Harboes Bryggeri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Harboes Bryggeri has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Harboes Stock
Harboes Bryggeri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harboes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harboes with respect to the benefits of owning Harboes Bryggeri security.