Havsfrun Investment (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.1

HAV-B Stock  SEK 13.70  0.60  4.58%   
Havsfrun Investment's future price is the expected price of Havsfrun Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Havsfrun Investment AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Havsfrun Investment Backtesting, Havsfrun Investment Valuation, Havsfrun Investment Correlation, Havsfrun Investment Hype Analysis, Havsfrun Investment Volatility, Havsfrun Investment History as well as Havsfrun Investment Performance.
  
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Havsfrun Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 13.1

The tendency of Havsfrun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 13.10  or more in 90 days
 13.70 90 days 13.10 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Havsfrun Investment to drop to kr 13.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Havsfrun Investment AB probability density function shows the probability of Havsfrun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Havsfrun Investment price to stay between kr 13.10  and its current price of kr13.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Havsfrun Investment has a beta of 0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Havsfrun Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Havsfrun Investment AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Havsfrun Investment AB has an alpha of 0.2367, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Havsfrun Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Havsfrun Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Havsfrun Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2313.7016.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3412.8115.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2513.7216.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9313.5014.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Havsfrun Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Havsfrun Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Havsfrun Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Havsfrun Investment.

Havsfrun Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Havsfrun Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Havsfrun Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Havsfrun Investment AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Havsfrun Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Havsfrun Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Havsfrun Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Havsfrun Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Havsfrun Investment AB has accumulated about 185.11 M in cash with (3.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.29, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Havsfrun Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Havsfrun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Havsfrun Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Havsfrun Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments138.8 M

Havsfrun Investment Technical Analysis

Havsfrun Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Havsfrun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Havsfrun Investment AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Havsfrun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Havsfrun Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Havsfrun Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Havsfrun Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Havsfrun Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Havsfrun Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Havsfrun Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Havsfrun Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Havsfrun Investment AB has accumulated about 185.11 M in cash with (3.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.29, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Havsfrun Stock Analysis

When running Havsfrun Investment's price analysis, check to measure Havsfrun Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Havsfrun Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Havsfrun Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Havsfrun Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Havsfrun Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Havsfrun Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.