HAV Group (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.02
| HAV Stock | NOK 7.02 1.48 17.41% |
HAV |
HAV Group Target Price Odds to finish below 7.02
The tendency of HAV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 7.02 | 90 days | 7.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HAV Group to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HAV Group ASA probability density function shows the probability of HAV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HAV Group ASA has a beta of -0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HAV Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HAV Group ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HAV Group ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HAV Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HAV Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAV Group ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HAV Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HAV Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HAV Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HAV Group ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HAV Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
HAV Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HAV Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HAV Group ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HAV Group ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
HAV Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HAV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HAV Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HAV Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 13.6 M |
HAV Group Technical Analysis
HAV Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HAV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HAV Group ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing HAV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HAV Group Predictive Forecast Models
HAV Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many HAV Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HAV Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HAV Group ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about HAV Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HAV Group ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HAV Group ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in HAV Stock
HAV Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether HAV Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HAV with respect to the benefits of owning HAV Group security.