Haw Par Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.65

HAWPF Stock  USD 8.35  0.00  0.00%   
Haw Par's future price is the expected price of Haw Par instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Haw Par performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Haw Par Backtesting, Haw Par Valuation, Haw Par Correlation, Haw Par Hype Analysis, Haw Par Volatility, Haw Par History as well as Haw Par Performance.
  
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Haw Par Target Price Odds to finish below 7.65

The tendency of Haw Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.65  or more in 90 days
 8.35 90 days 7.65 
about 12.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Haw Par to drop to $ 7.65  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.79 (This Haw Par probability density function shows the probability of Haw Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Haw Par price to stay between $ 7.65  and its current price of $8.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Haw Par has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Haw Par average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Haw Par will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Haw Par has an alpha of 0.0936, implying that it can generate a 0.0936 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Haw Par Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Haw Par

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haw Par. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.578.359.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.529.9410.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.658.429.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.358.358.35
Details

Haw Par Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Haw Par is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Haw Par's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Haw Par, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Haw Par within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Haw Par Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Haw Par for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Haw Par can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Showcases Promising Cell Therapy Data at ASH Annual Meeting

Haw Par Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Haw Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Haw Par's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Haw Par's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding221.3 M

Haw Par Technical Analysis

Haw Par's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Haw Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Haw Par. In general, you should focus on analyzing Haw Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Haw Par Predictive Forecast Models

Haw Par's time-series forecasting models is one of many Haw Par's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Haw Par's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Haw Par

Checking the ongoing alerts about Haw Par for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Haw Par help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Showcases Promising Cell Therapy Data at ASH Annual Meeting

Other Information on Investing in Haw Pink Sheet

Haw Par financial ratios help investors to determine whether Haw Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Haw with respect to the benefits of owning Haw Par security.