HBM Healthcare (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.78
| HBMN Stock | CHF 175.60 5.80 3.20% |
HBM |
HBM Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 172.78
The tendency of HBM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 172.78 or more in 90 days |
| 175.60 | 90 days | 172.78 | about 8.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HBM Healthcare to drop to ₣ 172.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.21 (This HBM Healthcare Investments probability density function shows the probability of HBM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HBM Healthcare Inves price to stay between ₣ 172.78 and its current price of ₣175.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HBM Healthcare has a beta of 0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HBM Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HBM Healthcare Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HBM Healthcare Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HBM Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HBM Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HBM Healthcare Inves. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HBM Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HBM Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HBM Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HBM Healthcare Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HBM Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
HBM Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HBM Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HBM Healthcare Inves can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HBM Healthcare Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HBM Healthcare Investments has accumulated 148.92 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 12.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. HBM Healthcare Inves has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HBM Healthcare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HBM Healthcare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HBM Healthcare Inves sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HBM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HBM Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (78.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.78 M). | |
| HBM Healthcare Investments has accumulated about 5.39 M in cash with (10.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.73. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of HBM Healthcare shares are held by company insiders |
HBM Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HBM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HBM Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HBM Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 M |
HBM Healthcare Technical Analysis
HBM Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HBM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HBM Healthcare Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing HBM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HBM Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
HBM Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many HBM Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HBM Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HBM Healthcare Inves
Checking the ongoing alerts about HBM Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HBM Healthcare Inves help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HBM Healthcare Inves generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HBM Healthcare Investments has accumulated 148.92 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 12.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. HBM Healthcare Inves has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HBM Healthcare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HBM Healthcare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HBM Healthcare Inves sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HBM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HBM Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (78.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.78 M). | |
| HBM Healthcare Investments has accumulated about 5.39 M in cash with (10.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.73. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of HBM Healthcare shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for HBM Stock Analysis
When running HBM Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure HBM Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HBM Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of HBM Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HBM Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HBM Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HBM Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.