Harbor Custom Development Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.22
| HCDIDelisted Stock | USD 2.68 0.07 2.68% |
Harbor |
Harbor Custom Target Price Odds to finish over 3.22
The tendency of Harbor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.22 or more in 90 days |
| 2.68 | 90 days | 3.22 | about 68.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harbor Custom to move over $ 3.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.87 (This Harbor Custom Development probability density function shows the probability of Harbor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harbor Custom Development price to stay between its current price of $ 2.68 and $ 3.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.77 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Harbor Custom will likely underperform. Additionally Harbor Custom Development has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Harbor Custom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harbor Custom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harbor Custom Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor Custom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Harbor Custom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harbor Custom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harbor Custom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harbor Custom Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harbor Custom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Harbor Custom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harbor Custom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harbor Custom Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harbor Custom is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Harbor Custom has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Harbor Custom Development currently holds 145.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.05, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Harbor Custom Development has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Harbor Custom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.93 M. | |
| Harbor Custom Development currently holds about 22.02 M in cash with (47.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53. |
Harbor Custom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harbor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harbor Custom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harbor Custom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 699.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.7 M |
Harbor Custom Technical Analysis
Harbor Custom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harbor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harbor Custom Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harbor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Harbor Custom Predictive Forecast Models
Harbor Custom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harbor Custom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harbor Custom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Harbor Custom Development
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harbor Custom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harbor Custom Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Harbor Custom is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Harbor Custom has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Harbor Custom Development currently holds 145.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.05, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Harbor Custom Development has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Harbor Custom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.93 M. | |
| Harbor Custom Development currently holds about 22.02 M in cash with (47.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.53. |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in Harbor Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Harbor Custom Development check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Harbor Custom's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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