Hosken Consolidated (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19594.47
| HCI Stock | 19,578 54.00 0.28% |
Hosken |
Hosken Consolidated Target Price Odds to finish below 19594.47
The tendency of Hosken Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 19,594 after 90 days |
| 19,578 | 90 days | 19,594 | about 92.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hosken Consolidated to stay under 19,594 after 90 days from now is about 92.31 (This Hosken Consolidated Investments probability density function shows the probability of Hosken Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hosken Consolidated price to stay between its current price of 19,578 and 19,594 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hosken Consolidated Investments has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hosken Consolidated are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hosken Consolidated Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hosken Consolidated Investments has an alpha of 0.154, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hosken Consolidated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hosken Consolidated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hosken Consolidated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hosken Consolidated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hosken Consolidated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hosken Consolidated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hosken Consolidated Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hosken Consolidated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 693.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Hosken Consolidated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hosken Consolidated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hosken Consolidated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hosken Consolidated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hosken Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hosken Consolidated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hosken Consolidated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Hosken Consolidated Technical Analysis
Hosken Consolidated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hosken Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hosken Consolidated Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hosken Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hosken Consolidated Predictive Forecast Models
Hosken Consolidated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hosken Consolidated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hosken Consolidated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hosken Consolidated
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hosken Consolidated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hosken Consolidated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hosken Stock
Hosken Consolidated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hosken Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hosken with respect to the benefits of owning Hosken Consolidated security.