Healthy Choice Wellness Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 137.41

HCWC Stock   1.64  0.08  4.65%   
Healthy Choice's future price is the expected price of Healthy Choice instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Healthy Choice Wellness performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Healthy Choice Backtesting, Healthy Choice Valuation, Healthy Choice Correlation, Healthy Choice Hype Analysis, Healthy Choice Volatility, Healthy Choice History as well as Healthy Choice Performance.
  
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Healthy Choice Target Price Odds to finish over 137.41

The tendency of Healthy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  137.41  or more in 90 days
 1.64 90 days 137.41 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthy Choice to move over  137.41  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Healthy Choice Wellness probability density function shows the probability of Healthy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthy Choice Wellness price to stay between its current price of  1.64  and  137.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Healthy Choice Wellness has a beta of -0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Healthy Choice are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Healthy Choice Wellness is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Healthy Choice Wellness has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Healthy Choice Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Healthy Choice

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthy Choice Wellness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthy Choice's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.54165.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.57165.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.06136.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.421.611.80
Details

Healthy Choice Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthy Choice is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthy Choice's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthy Choice Wellness, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthy Choice within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.74
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Healthy Choice Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthy Choice for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthy Choice Wellness can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthy Choice is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Healthy Choice may become a speculative penny stock
Healthy Choice appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 65.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Healthy Choice generates negative cash flow from operations
Healthy Choice has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Healthy Choice Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthy Choice's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthy Choice's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.8 M

Healthy Choice Technical Analysis

Healthy Choice's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthy Choice Wellness. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Healthy Choice Predictive Forecast Models

Healthy Choice's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthy Choice's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthy Choice's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Healthy Choice Wellness

Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthy Choice for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthy Choice Wellness help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Healthy Choice is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Healthy Choice may become a speculative penny stock
Healthy Choice appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 65.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Healthy Choice generates negative cash flow from operations
Healthy Choice has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
When determining whether Healthy Choice Wellness offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Healthy Choice's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Healthy Choice Wellness Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Healthy Choice Wellness Stock:
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthy Choice. If investors know Healthy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthy Choice listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.06)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.149
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.79)
The market value of Healthy Choice Wellness is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthy Choice's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthy Choice's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthy Choice's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthy Choice's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthy Choice's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthy Choice is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthy Choice's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.