Radana Bhaskara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 136.97
| HDFA Stock | IDR 143.00 1.00 0.70% |
Radana |
Radana Bhaskara Target Price Odds to finish below 136.97
The tendency of Radana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 136.97 or more in 90 days |
| 143.00 | 90 days | 136.97 | about 35.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Radana Bhaskara to drop to 136.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.44 (This Radana Bhaskara Finance probability density function shows the probability of Radana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Radana Bhaskara Finance price to stay between 136.97 and its current price of 143.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Radana Bhaskara Finance has a beta of -0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Radana Bhaskara are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Radana Bhaskara Finance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Radana Bhaskara Finance has an alpha of 0.9663, implying that it can generate a 0.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Radana Bhaskara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Radana Bhaskara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radana Bhaskara Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Radana Bhaskara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Radana Bhaskara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Radana Bhaskara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Radana Bhaskara Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Radana Bhaskara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Radana Bhaskara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Radana Bhaskara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Radana Bhaskara Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Radana Bhaskara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Radana Bhaskara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Radana Bhaskara Finance has accumulated about 0 in cash with (628.03 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Radana Bhaskara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Radana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Radana Bhaskara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radana Bhaskara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.2 B |
Radana Bhaskara Technical Analysis
Radana Bhaskara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Radana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Radana Bhaskara Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Radana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Radana Bhaskara Predictive Forecast Models
Radana Bhaskara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Radana Bhaskara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Radana Bhaskara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Radana Bhaskara Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Radana Bhaskara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Radana Bhaskara Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Radana Bhaskara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Radana Bhaskara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Radana Bhaskara Finance has accumulated about 0 in cash with (628.03 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Radana Stock
Radana Bhaskara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Radana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Radana with respect to the benefits of owning Radana Bhaskara security.