Hedef Girisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.27
| HDFGS Stock | TRY 1.56 0.06 4.00% |
Hedef |
Hedef Girisim Target Price Odds to finish below 1.27
The tendency of Hedef Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.27 or more in 90 days |
| 1.56 | 90 days | 1.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hedef Girisim to drop to 1.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hedef Girisim Sermayesi probability density function shows the probability of Hedef Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hedef Girisim Sermayesi price to stay between 1.27 and its current price of 1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has a beta of -0.0733. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hedef Girisim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hedef Girisim Sermayesi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has an alpha of 0.0328, implying that it can generate a 0.0328 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hedef Girisim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hedef Girisim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hedef Girisim Sermayesi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hedef Girisim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hedef Girisim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hedef Girisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hedef Girisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hedef Girisim Sermayesi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hedef Girisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Hedef Girisim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hedef Girisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hedef Girisim Sermayesi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hedef Girisim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hedef Girisim may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has accumulated about 254.8 M in cash with (110.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. |
Hedef Girisim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hedef Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hedef Girisim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hedef Girisim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 270 M |
Hedef Girisim Technical Analysis
Hedef Girisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hedef Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hedef Girisim Sermayesi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hedef Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hedef Girisim Predictive Forecast Models
Hedef Girisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hedef Girisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hedef Girisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hedef Girisim Sermayesi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hedef Girisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hedef Girisim Sermayesi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hedef Girisim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hedef Girisim may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Hedef Girisim Sermayesi has accumulated about 254.8 M in cash with (110.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. |
Other Information on Investing in Hedef Stock
Hedef Girisim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hedef Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hedef with respect to the benefits of owning Hedef Girisim security.