H D International Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00

HDIH Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
H-D International's future price is the expected price of H-D International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of H D International Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out H-D International Backtesting, H-D International Valuation, H-D International Correlation, H-D International Hype Analysis, H-D International Volatility, H-D International History as well as H-D International Performance.
  
Please specify H-D International's target price for which you would like H-D International odds to be computed.

H-D International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of H-D Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of H-D International to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This H D International Holdings probability density function shows the probability of H-D Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of H D International price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $2.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, H-D International will likely underperform. Additionally H D International Holdings has an alpha of 0.0905, implying that it can generate a 0.0905 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   H-D International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for H-D International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as H D International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00027.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00027.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000040.00027.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

H-D International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. H-D International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the H-D International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold H D International Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of H-D International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.000029
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

H-D International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of H-D International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for H D International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
H D International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
H D International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
H D International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
H D International Holdings currently holds 3.69 M in liabilities. H D International has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist H-D International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, H-D International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like H D International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for H-D to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about H-D International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 316.13 K.
H D International Holdings currently holds about 50.78 K in cash with (654.9 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ClearOne Communications Stock Surges Amid Market Activity

H-D International Technical Analysis

H-D International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. H-D Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of H D International Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing H-D Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

H-D International Predictive Forecast Models

H-D International's time-series forecasting models is one of many H-D International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary H-D International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about H D International

Checking the ongoing alerts about H-D International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for H D International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
H D International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
H D International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
H D International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
H D International Holdings currently holds 3.69 M in liabilities. H D International has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist H-D International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, H-D International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like H D International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for H-D to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about H-D International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 316.13 K.
H D International Holdings currently holds about 50.78 K in cash with (654.9 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ClearOne Communications Stock Surges Amid Market Activity

Other Information on Investing in H-D Pink Sheet

H-D International financial ratios help investors to determine whether H-D Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in H-D with respect to the benefits of owning H-D International security.