Super Hi International Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.80
| HDL Stock | 16.93 0.37 2.23% |
SUPER |
SUPER HI Target Price Odds to finish below 10.80
The tendency of SUPER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.80 or more in 90 days |
| 16.93 | 90 days | 10.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SUPER HI to drop to 10.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL probability density function shows the probability of SUPER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL price to stay between 10.80 and its current price of 16.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.94 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SUPER HI has a beta of 0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, SUPER HI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL has an alpha of 0.108, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SUPER HI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SUPER HI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SUPER HI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SUPER HI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SUPER HI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SUPER HI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SUPER HI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
SUPER HI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SUPER HI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SUPER HI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SUPER HI has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Super Hi Reports Unaudited Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2024 |
SUPER HI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SUPER Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SUPER HI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SUPER HI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 557.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.9 M |
SUPER HI Technical Analysis
SUPER HI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SUPER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing SUPER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SUPER HI Predictive Forecast Models
SUPER HI's time-series forecasting models is one of many SUPER HI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SUPER HI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL
Checking the ongoing alerts about SUPER HI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SUPER HI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SUPER HI has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Super Hi Reports Unaudited Financial Results for the Third Quarter of 2024 |
Check out SUPER HI Backtesting, SUPER HI Valuation, SUPER HI Correlation, SUPER HI Hype Analysis, SUPER HI Volatility, SUPER HI History as well as SUPER HI Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SUPER HI. If investors know SUPER will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SUPER HI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SUPER that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SUPER HI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SUPER HI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SUPER HI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SUPER HI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SUPER HI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SUPER HI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SUPER HI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.