Helen Of Troy Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 69.92
| HELE Stock | USD 72.51 1.79 2.53% |
Helen |
Helen Of Target Price Odds to finish below 69.92
The tendency of Helen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 69.92 or more in 90 days |
| 72.51 | 90 days | 69.92 | about 90.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Helen Of to drop to $ 69.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.43 (This Helen of Troy probability density function shows the probability of Helen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Helen of Troy price to stay between $ 69.92 and its current price of $72.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Helen Of has a beta of 0.75. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Helen Of average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Helen of Troy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Helen of Troy has an alpha of 0.4199, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Helen Of Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Helen Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Helen of Troy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Helen Of Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Helen Of is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Helen Of's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Helen of Troy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Helen Of within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Helen Of Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Helen Of for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Helen of Troy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Helen of Troy earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last three years, but the stock rallies 5.4 percent this past week |
Helen Of Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Helen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Helen Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Helen Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 M |
Helen Of Technical Analysis
Helen Of's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Helen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Helen of Troy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Helen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Helen Of Predictive Forecast Models
Helen Of's time-series forecasting models is one of many Helen Of's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Helen Of's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Helen of Troy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Helen Of for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Helen of Troy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Helen of Troy earnings and shareholder returns have been trending downwards for the last three years, but the stock rallies 5.4 percent this past week |
Check out Helen Of Backtesting, Helen Of Valuation, Helen Of Correlation, Helen Of Hype Analysis, Helen Of Volatility, Helen Of History as well as Helen Of Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Household Appliances space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Helen Of. If investors know Helen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Helen Of listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share 5.96 | Revenue Per Share 82.271 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0474 |
The market value of Helen of Troy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Helen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Helen Of's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Helen Of's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Helen Of's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Helen Of's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Helen Of's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Helen Of is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Helen Of's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.