Helvetia Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 136.98
| HELN Stock | CHF 153.70 1.50 0.99% |
Helvetia |
Helvetia Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 136.98
The tendency of Helvetia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 136.98 or more in 90 days |
| 153.70 | 90 days | 136.98 | about 16.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Helvetia Holding to drop to ₣ 136.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.2 (This Helvetia Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Helvetia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Helvetia Holding price to stay between ₣ 136.98 and its current price of ₣153.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Helvetia Holding has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Helvetia Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Helvetia Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Helvetia Holding AG has an alpha of 0.183, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Helvetia Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Helvetia Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Helvetia Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Helvetia Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Helvetia Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Helvetia Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Helvetia Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Helvetia Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Helvetia Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Helvetia Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Helvetia Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Helvetia Holding AG has accumulated 2.11 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 24.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Helvetia Holding has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Helvetia Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Helvetia Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Helvetia Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Helvetia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Helvetia Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 34.0% of Helvetia Holding shares are held by company insiders |
Helvetia Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Helvetia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Helvetia Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Helvetia Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Helvetia Holding Technical Analysis
Helvetia Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Helvetia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Helvetia Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Helvetia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Helvetia Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Helvetia Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Helvetia Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Helvetia Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Helvetia Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Helvetia Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Helvetia Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Helvetia Holding AG has accumulated 2.11 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 24.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Helvetia Holding has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Helvetia Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Helvetia Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Helvetia Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Helvetia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Helvetia Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 34.0% of Helvetia Holding shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Helvetia Stock Analysis
When running Helvetia Holding's price analysis, check to measure Helvetia Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Helvetia Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Helvetia Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Helvetia Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Helvetia Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Helvetia Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.