Hero Supermarket (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 628.09
| HERO Stock | IDR 575.00 5.00 0.88% |
Hero |
Hero Supermarket Target Price Odds to finish over 628.09
The tendency of Hero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 628.09 or more in 90 days |
| 575.00 | 90 days | 628.09 | about 76.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hero Supermarket to move over 628.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.88 (This Hero Supermarket Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Hero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hero Supermarket Tbk price to stay between its current price of 575.00 and 628.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hero Supermarket Tbk has a beta of -0.0187. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hero Supermarket are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hero Supermarket Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hero Supermarket Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hero Supermarket Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hero Supermarket
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hero Supermarket Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hero Supermarket Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hero Supermarket is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hero Supermarket's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hero Supermarket Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hero Supermarket within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Hero Supermarket Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hero Supermarket for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hero Supermarket Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hero Supermarket Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hero Supermarket Tbk has accumulated 2.06 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hero Supermarket Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hero Supermarket until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hero Supermarket's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hero Supermarket Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hero Supermarket's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.48 T. Net Loss for the year was (963.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 T. | |
| Hero Supermarket Tbk has accumulated about 239.55 B in cash with (661.68 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 57.26. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of Hero Supermarket shares are held by company insiders |
Hero Supermarket Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hero Supermarket's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hero Supermarket's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 168.7 B |
Hero Supermarket Technical Analysis
Hero Supermarket's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hero Supermarket Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hero Supermarket Predictive Forecast Models
Hero Supermarket's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hero Supermarket's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hero Supermarket's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hero Supermarket Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hero Supermarket for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hero Supermarket Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hero Supermarket Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hero Supermarket Tbk has accumulated 2.06 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hero Supermarket Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hero Supermarket until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hero Supermarket's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hero Supermarket Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hero Supermarket's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.48 T. Net Loss for the year was (963.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.41 T. | |
| Hero Supermarket Tbk has accumulated about 239.55 B in cash with (661.68 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 57.26. | |
| Roughly 95.0% of Hero Supermarket shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hero Stock
Hero Supermarket financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hero Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hero with respect to the benefits of owning Hero Supermarket security.