KHD Humboldt (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.96
| HETA Stock | EUR 8.80 0.40 4.35% |
KHD |
KHD Humboldt Target Price Odds to finish below 8.96
The tendency of KHD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 8.96 after 90 days |
| 8.80 | 90 days | 8.96 | about 89.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KHD Humboldt to stay under € 8.96 after 90 days from now is about 89.84 (This KHD Humboldt Wedag probability density function shows the probability of KHD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KHD Humboldt Wedag price to stay between its current price of € 8.80 and € 8.96 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KHD Humboldt has a beta of 0.0561. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, KHD Humboldt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KHD Humboldt Wedag will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KHD Humboldt Wedag has an alpha of 0.326, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KHD Humboldt Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KHD Humboldt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KHD Humboldt Wedag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KHD Humboldt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KHD Humboldt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KHD Humboldt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KHD Humboldt Wedag, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KHD Humboldt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
KHD Humboldt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KHD Humboldt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KHD Humboldt Wedag can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KHD Humboldt Wedag had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KHD Humboldt Wedag has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| KHD Humboldt Wedag has accumulated about 10.02 M in cash with (218 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 23.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
KHD Humboldt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KHD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KHD Humboldt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KHD Humboldt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 424 K | |
| Dividends Paid | 108 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.34 | |
| Shares Float | 37.1 K |
KHD Humboldt Technical Analysis
KHD Humboldt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KHD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KHD Humboldt Wedag. In general, you should focus on analyzing KHD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KHD Humboldt Predictive Forecast Models
KHD Humboldt's time-series forecasting models is one of many KHD Humboldt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KHD Humboldt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KHD Humboldt Wedag
Checking the ongoing alerts about KHD Humboldt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KHD Humboldt Wedag help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KHD Humboldt Wedag had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KHD Humboldt Wedag has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| KHD Humboldt Wedag has accumulated about 10.02 M in cash with (218 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 23.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in KHD Stock
KHD Humboldt financial ratios help investors to determine whether KHD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KHD with respect to the benefits of owning KHD Humboldt security.