The Hartford Midcap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.56
| HFMCX Fund | USD 28.91 0.26 0.91% |
Hartford |
Hartford Midcap Target Price Odds to finish over 26.56
The tendency of Hartford Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 26.56 in 90 days |
| 28.91 | 90 days | 26.56 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hartford Midcap to stay above $ 26.56 in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This The Hartford Midcap probability density function shows the probability of Hartford Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hartford Midcap price to stay between $ 26.56 and its current price of $28.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually indicates The Hartford Midcap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hartford Midcap is expected to follow. Additionally The Hartford Midcap has an alpha of 0.037, implying that it can generate a 0.037 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hartford Midcap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Midcap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Midcap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Midcap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hartford Midcap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hartford Midcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hartford Midcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Hartford Midcap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hartford Midcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Hartford Midcap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hartford Midcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hartford Midcap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Hartford Midcap retains 99.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Hartford Midcap Technical Analysis
Hartford Midcap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hartford Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Hartford Midcap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hartford Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hartford Midcap Predictive Forecast Models
Hartford Midcap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hartford Midcap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hartford Midcap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hartford Midcap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hartford Midcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hartford Midcap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Hartford Midcap retains 99.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Hartford Mutual Fund
Hartford Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Midcap security.
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