Hamilton Insurance Group, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.07
| HG Stock | 19.01 0.23 1.20% |
Hamilton |
Hamilton Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 17.07
The tendency of Hamilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.07 or more in 90 days |
| 19.01 | 90 days | 17.07 | about 1.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hamilton Insurance to drop to 17.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.75 (This Hamilton Insurance Group, probability density function shows the probability of Hamilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hamilton Insurance Group, price to stay between 17.07 and its current price of 19.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.33 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Hamilton Insurance has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hamilton Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hamilton Insurance Group, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hamilton Insurance Group, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hamilton Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hamilton Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Insurance Group,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hamilton Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hamilton Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hamilton Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hamilton Insurance Group,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hamilton Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Hamilton Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hamilton Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hamilton Insurance Group, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hamilton Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Hamilton Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hamilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hamilton Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hamilton Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Hamilton Insurance Technical Analysis
Hamilton Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hamilton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hamilton Insurance Group,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hamilton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hamilton Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Hamilton Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hamilton Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hamilton Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hamilton Insurance Group,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hamilton Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hamilton Insurance Group, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hamilton Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Hamilton Insurance Backtesting, Hamilton Insurance Valuation, Hamilton Insurance Correlation, Hamilton Insurance Hype Analysis, Hamilton Insurance Volatility, Hamilton Insurance History as well as Hamilton Insurance Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Reinsurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hamilton Insurance. If investors know Hamilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hamilton Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.805 | Earnings Share 4.87 | Revenue Per Share 21.292 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.314 | Return On Assets 0.0594 |
The market value of Hamilton Insurance Group, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hamilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hamilton Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hamilton Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hamilton Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hamilton Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hamilton Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hamilton Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hamilton Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.