HIGH FUNDO (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 11.57
| HGAG11 Fund | 12.43 0.19 1.51% |
HIGH |
HIGH FUNDO Target Price Odds to finish below 11.57
The tendency of HIGH Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.57 or more in 90 days |
| 12.43 | 90 days | 11.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HIGH FUNDO to drop to 11.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HIGH FUNDO DE probability density function shows the probability of HIGH Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HIGH FUNDO DE price to stay between 11.57 and its current price of 12.43 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HIGH FUNDO DE has a beta of -0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HIGH FUNDO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HIGH FUNDO DE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HIGH FUNDO DE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HIGH FUNDO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HIGH FUNDO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HIGH FUNDO DE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HIGH FUNDO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HIGH FUNDO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HIGH FUNDO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HIGH FUNDO DE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HIGH FUNDO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
HIGH FUNDO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HIGH FUNDO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HIGH FUNDO DE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HIGH FUNDO DE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HIGH FUNDO DE has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
HIGH FUNDO Technical Analysis
HIGH FUNDO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HIGH Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HIGH FUNDO DE. In general, you should focus on analyzing HIGH Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HIGH FUNDO Predictive Forecast Models
HIGH FUNDO's time-series forecasting models is one of many HIGH FUNDO's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HIGH FUNDO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HIGH FUNDO DE
Checking the ongoing alerts about HIGH FUNDO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HIGH FUNDO DE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HIGH FUNDO DE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HIGH FUNDO DE has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm |