The Hartford Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 56.57

HGOCX Fund  USD 57.66  0.35  0.60%   
Hartford Growth's future price is the expected price of Hartford Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Hartford Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hartford Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Hartford Growth Correlation, Hartford Growth Hype Analysis, Hartford Growth Volatility, Hartford Growth History as well as Hartford Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Hartford Growth's target price for which you would like Hartford Growth odds to be computed.

Hartford Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 56.57

The tendency of Hartford Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 56.57  or more in 90 days
 57.66 90 days 56.57 
about 83.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hartford Growth to drop to $ 56.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.39 (This The Hartford Growth probability density function shows the probability of Hartford Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hartford Growth price to stay between $ 56.57  and its current price of $57.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Hartford Growth has a beta of -0.0627. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hartford Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Hartford Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Hartford Growth has an alpha of 0.1299, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hartford Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hartford Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4857.6658.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.0352.2163.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.1157.2958.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.0156.2858.55
Details

Hartford Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hartford Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hartford Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Hartford Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hartford Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Hartford Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hartford Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hartford Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Hartford Growth Technical Analysis

Hartford Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hartford Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Hartford Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hartford Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hartford Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Hartford Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hartford Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hartford Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hartford Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hartford Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hartford Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Hartford Mutual Fund

Hartford Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Growth security.
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