HH International (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 80.87

HH Stock  DKK 79.10  0.70  0.88%   
HH International's future price is the expected price of HH International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HH International AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HH International Backtesting, HH International Valuation, HH International Correlation, HH International Hype Analysis, HH International Volatility, HH International History as well as HH International Performance.
  
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HH International Target Price Odds to finish over 80.87

The tendency of HH International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 80.87  or more in 90 days
 79.10 90 days 80.87 
about 90.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HH International to move over kr 80.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.59 (This HH International AS probability density function shows the probability of HH International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HH International price to stay between its current price of kr 79.10  and kr 80.87  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HH International has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HH International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HH International AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HH International AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HH International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HH International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HH International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HH International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.7379.1080.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.8271.1987.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
78.7880.1581.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.5081.5086.50
Details

HH International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HH International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HH International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HH International AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HH International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
5.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

HH International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HH International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HH International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HH International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HH International has accumulated kr743 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

HH International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HH International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HH International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HH International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments499 M

HH International Technical Analysis

HH International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HH International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HH International AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing HH International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HH International Predictive Forecast Models

HH International's time-series forecasting models is one of many HH International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HH International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HH International

Checking the ongoing alerts about HH International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HH International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HH International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HH International has accumulated kr743 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in HH International Stock

HH International financial ratios help investors to determine whether HH International Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HH International with respect to the benefits of owning HH International security.