Highland Longshort Healthcare Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.57

HHCZX Fund  USD 16.53  0.04  0.24%   
Highland Long/short's future price is the expected price of Highland Long/short instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Highland Longshort Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Highland Long/short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Highland Long/short Correlation, Highland Long/short Hype Analysis, Highland Long/short Volatility, Highland Long/short History as well as Highland Long/short Performance.
  
Please specify Highland Long/short's target price for which you would like Highland Long/short odds to be computed.

Highland Long/short Target Price Odds to finish below 16.57

The tendency of Highland Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 16.57  after 90 days
 16.53 90 days 16.57 
about 83.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highland Long/short to stay under $ 16.57  after 90 days from now is about 83.49 (This Highland Longshort Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Highland Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highland Long/short price to stay between its current price of $ 16.53  and $ 16.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Highland Longshort Healthcare has a beta of -0.0054. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Highland Long/short are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Highland Longshort Healthcare is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Highland Longshort Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0222, implying that it can generate a 0.0222 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Highland Long/short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Highland Long/short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highland Long/short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3216.5316.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3016.5116.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2216.4316.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4316.5816.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highland Long/short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highland Long/short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highland Long/short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Highland Long/short.

Highland Long/short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highland Long/short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highland Long/short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highland Longshort Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highland Long/short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0054
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

Highland Long/short Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highland Long/short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highland Long/short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Highland Long/short Technical Analysis

Highland Long/short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highland Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highland Longshort Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highland Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Highland Long/short Predictive Forecast Models

Highland Long/short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highland Long/short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highland Long/short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Highland Long/short

Checking the ongoing alerts about Highland Long/short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highland Long/short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Highland Mutual Fund

Highland Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Long/short security.
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