Hilton Worldwide (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.20
| HI91 Stock | EUR 239.50 4.00 1.64% |
Hilton |
Hilton Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish below 149.20
The tendency of Hilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 149.20 or more in 90 days |
| 239.50 | 90 days | 149.20 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilton Worldwide to drop to € 149.20 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hilton Worldwide Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hilton Worldwide Holdings price to stay between € 149.20 and its current price of €239.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hilton Worldwide has a beta of 0.77. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hilton Worldwide average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hilton Worldwide Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hilton Worldwide Holdings has an alpha of 0.2357, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hilton Worldwide Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hilton Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hilton Worldwide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilton Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilton Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilton Worldwide Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilton Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Hilton Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilton Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilton Worldwide Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hilton Worldwide Holdings has accumulated 8.58 B in total debt. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hilton Worldwide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hilton Worldwide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hilton Worldwide Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hilton Worldwide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Hilton Worldwide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 267.9 M |
Hilton Worldwide Technical Analysis
Hilton Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hilton Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models
Hilton Worldwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilton Worldwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilton Worldwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilton Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilton Worldwide Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings has accumulated 8.58 B in total debt. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hilton Worldwide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hilton Worldwide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hilton Worldwide Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hilton Worldwide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hilton Stock
When determining whether Hilton Worldwide Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Hilton Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock:Check out Hilton Worldwide Backtesting, Hilton Worldwide Valuation, Hilton Worldwide Correlation, Hilton Worldwide Hype Analysis, Hilton Worldwide Volatility, Hilton Worldwide History as well as Hilton Worldwide Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.