Colorado Bondshares A Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.99

HICOX Fund  USD 9.06  0.01  0.11%   
Colorado Bondshares' future price is the expected price of Colorado Bondshares instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Colorado Bondshares A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Colorado Bondshares Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Colorado Bondshares Correlation, Colorado Bondshares Hype Analysis, Colorado Bondshares Volatility, Colorado Bondshares History as well as Colorado Bondshares Performance.
  
Please specify Colorado Bondshares' target price for which you would like Colorado Bondshares odds to be computed.

Colorado Bondshares Target Price Odds to finish below 8.99

The tendency of Colorado Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.99  or more in 90 days
 9.06 90 days 8.99 
about 65.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colorado Bondshares to drop to $ 8.99  or more in 90 days from now is about 65.05 (This Colorado Bondshares A probability density function shows the probability of Colorado Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colorado Bondshares price to stay between $ 8.99  and its current price of $9.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Colorado Bondshares A has a beta of -0.0621. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Colorado Bondshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Colorado Bondshares A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Colorado Bondshares A has an alpha of 0.0247, implying that it can generate a 0.0247 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Colorado Bondshares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Colorado Bondshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colorado Bondshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.859.069.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.748.959.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.849.059.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.989.029.06
Details

Colorado Bondshares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colorado Bondshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colorado Bondshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colorado Bondshares A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colorado Bondshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.51

Colorado Bondshares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colorado Bondshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colorado Bondshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy These 3 Municipal Bond Funds to Lessen Your Risk - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains about 31.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Colorado Bondshares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colorado Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colorado Bondshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colorado Bondshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Colorado Bondshares Technical Analysis

Colorado Bondshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colorado Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colorado Bondshares A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colorado Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Colorado Bondshares Predictive Forecast Models

Colorado Bondshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Colorado Bondshares' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colorado Bondshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Colorado Bondshares

Checking the ongoing alerts about Colorado Bondshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colorado Bondshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Buy These 3 Municipal Bond Funds to Lessen Your Risk - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains about 31.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Colorado Mutual Fund

Colorado Bondshares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Colorado Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Colorado with respect to the benefits of owning Colorado Bondshares security.
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