Park Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.37
| HIP Stock | 14.50 0.30 2.11% |
Park |
Park Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 13.37
The tendency of Park Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 13.37 in 90 days |
| 14.50 | 90 days | 13.37 | about 24.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Park Hotels to stay above 13.37 in 90 days from now is about 24.69 (This Park Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Park Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Park Hotels Resorts price to stay between 13.37 and its current price of 14.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Park Hotels has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Park Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Park Hotels Resorts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Park Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.1686, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Park Hotels Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Park Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Park Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Park Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Park Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Park Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Park Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Park Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Park Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Park Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Park Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Park Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Park Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations |
Park Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Park Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Park Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 224.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 50 M |
Park Hotels Technical Analysis
Park Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Park Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Park Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Park Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Park Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Park Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Park Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Park Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Park Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Park Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Park Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Park Hotels generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Park Stock Analysis
When running Park Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Park Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Park Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.