Humpuss Intermoda (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 404.63
| HITS Stock | IDR 426.00 10.00 2.40% |
Humpuss |
Humpuss Intermoda Target Price Odds to finish over 404.63
The tendency of Humpuss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 404.63 in 90 days |
| 426.00 | 90 days | 404.63 | nearly 4.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Humpuss Intermoda to stay above 404.63 in 90 days from now is nearly 4.3 (This Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi probability density function shows the probability of Humpuss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Humpuss Intermoda price to stay between 404.63 and its current price of 426.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi has a beta of -0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Humpuss Intermoda are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi has an alpha of 0.7388, implying that it can generate a 0.74 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Humpuss Intermoda Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Humpuss Intermoda
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Humpuss Intermoda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Humpuss Intermoda Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Humpuss Intermoda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Humpuss Intermoda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Humpuss Intermoda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 48.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Humpuss Intermoda Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Humpuss Intermoda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Humpuss Intermoda can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Humpuss Intermoda appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 84.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.55 M. | |
| About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Humpuss Intermoda Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Humpuss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Humpuss Intermoda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Humpuss Intermoda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23 M |
Humpuss Intermoda Technical Analysis
Humpuss Intermoda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Humpuss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Humpuss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Humpuss Intermoda Predictive Forecast Models
Humpuss Intermoda's time-series forecasting models is one of many Humpuss Intermoda's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Humpuss Intermoda's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Humpuss Intermoda
Checking the ongoing alerts about Humpuss Intermoda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Humpuss Intermoda help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Humpuss Intermoda appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 84.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.55 M. | |
| About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Humpuss Stock
Humpuss Intermoda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Humpuss Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Humpuss with respect to the benefits of owning Humpuss Intermoda security.