Hapag Lloyd (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.50
| HLAG Stock | 151.20 1.60 1.05% |
Hapag |
Hapag Lloyd Target Price Odds to finish below 149.50
The tendency of Hapag Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 149.50 or more in 90 days |
| 151.20 | 90 days | 149.50 | about 30.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hapag Lloyd to drop to 149.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.75 (This Hapag Lloyd AG probability density function shows the probability of Hapag Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hapag Lloyd AG price to stay between 149.50 and its current price of 151.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hapag Lloyd has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hapag Lloyd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hapag Lloyd AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hapag Lloyd AG has an alpha of 0.0366, implying that it can generate a 0.0366 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hapag Lloyd Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hapag Lloyd
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hapag Lloyd AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hapag Lloyd Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hapag Lloyd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hapag Lloyd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hapag Lloyd AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hapag Lloyd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.002 |
Hapag Lloyd Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hapag Lloyd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hapag Lloyd AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hapag Lloyd AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hapag Lloyd Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hapag Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hapag Lloyd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hapag Lloyd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 B |
Hapag Lloyd Technical Analysis
Hapag Lloyd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hapag Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hapag Lloyd AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hapag Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hapag Lloyd Predictive Forecast Models
Hapag Lloyd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hapag Lloyd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hapag Lloyd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hapag Lloyd AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hapag Lloyd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hapag Lloyd AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hapag Lloyd AG had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hapag Stock
Hapag Lloyd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hapag Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hapag with respect to the benefits of owning Hapag Lloyd security.