Hilan (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17648.5

HLAN Stock  ILS 22,110  390.00  1.73%   
Hilan's future price is the expected price of Hilan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hilan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hilan Backtesting, Hilan Valuation, Hilan Correlation, Hilan Hype Analysis, Hilan Volatility, Hilan History as well as Hilan Performance.
  
Please specify Hilan's target price for which you would like Hilan odds to be computed.

Hilan Target Price Odds to finish over 17648.5

The tendency of Hilan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 17,648  in 90 days
 22,110 90 days 17,648 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilan to stay above S 17,648  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hilan probability density function shows the probability of Hilan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hilan price to stay between S 17,648  and its current price of S22110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hilan has a beta of -0.0365. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hilan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hilan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hilan has an alpha of 0.2184, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hilan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hilan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,10822,11022,112
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,93617,93824,321
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22,38722,38922,391
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18,69720,66022,623
Details

Hilan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
978.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Hilan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hilan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hilan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.6 M
Dividends Paid45.1 M
Short Long Term Debt67.7 M

Hilan Technical Analysis

Hilan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hilan Predictive Forecast Models

Hilan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hilan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hilan has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Hilan Stock

Hilan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hilan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hilan with respect to the benefits of owning Hilan security.