Halk Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| HLGYO Stock | TRY 2.65 0.06 2.32% |
Halk |
Halk Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Halk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 2.65 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Halk Gayrimenkul to drop to 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Halk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between 0.02 and its current price of 2.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Halk Gayrimenkul has a beta of 0.59. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Halk Gayrimenkul average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.1638, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Halk Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Halk Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Halk Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Halk Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Halk Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Halk Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Halk Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Halk Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 22.93 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Halk Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Halk Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Halk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Halk Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 79.0% of Halk Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Halk Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Halk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Halk Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Halk Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Halk Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Halk Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Halk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Halk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Halk Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Halk Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Halk Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Halk Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Halk Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 22.93 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Halk Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Halk Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Halk Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Halk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Halk Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 79.0% of Halk Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Halk Stock
Halk Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Halk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Halk with respect to the benefits of owning Halk Gayrimenkul security.