Holmen Ab Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 16.67
| HLMNY Stock | USD 21.25 0.00 0.00% |
Holmen |
Holmen AB Target Price Odds to finish below 16.67
The tendency of Holmen Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.67 or more in 90 days |
| 21.25 | 90 days | 16.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holmen AB to drop to $ 16.67 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Holmen AB ADR probability density function shows the probability of Holmen Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holmen AB ADR price to stay between $ 16.67 and its current price of $21.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Holmen AB ADR has a beta of -0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Holmen AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Holmen AB ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Holmen AB ADR has an alpha of 0.2039, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Holmen AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Holmen AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holmen AB ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Holmen AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holmen AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holmen AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holmen AB ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holmen AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Holmen AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holmen Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holmen AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holmen AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.9 M |
Holmen AB Technical Analysis
Holmen AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holmen Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holmen AB ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holmen Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Holmen AB Predictive Forecast Models
Holmen AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holmen AB's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holmen AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Holmen AB in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Holmen AB's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Holmen AB options trading.
Additional Tools for Holmen Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Holmen AB's price analysis, check to measure Holmen AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holmen AB is operating at the current time. Most of Holmen AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holmen AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holmen AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holmen AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.