Holmes Place (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 557.69
| HLMS Stock | ILA 559.70 4.30 0.76% |
Holmes |
Holmes Place Target Price Odds to finish below 557.69
The tendency of Holmes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 557.69 or more in 90 days |
| 559.70 | 90 days | 557.69 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holmes Place to drop to 557.69 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Holmes Place International probability density function shows the probability of Holmes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holmes Place Interna price to stay between 557.69 and its current price of 559.7 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Holmes Place has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Holmes Place average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Holmes Place International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Holmes Place International has an alpha of 0.2514, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Holmes Place Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Holmes Place
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holmes Place Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Holmes Place Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holmes Place is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holmes Place's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holmes Place International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holmes Place within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 39.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Holmes Place Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holmes Place for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holmes Place Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Holmes Place International has accumulated 41.63 M in total debt. Holmes Place Interna has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Holmes Place until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Holmes Place's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Holmes Place Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Holmes to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Holmes Place's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 311.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.78 M. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Holmes Place Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holmes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holmes Place's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holmes Place's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.5 M |
Holmes Place Technical Analysis
Holmes Place's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holmes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holmes Place International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holmes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Holmes Place Predictive Forecast Models
Holmes Place's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holmes Place's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holmes Place's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Holmes Place Interna
Checking the ongoing alerts about Holmes Place for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holmes Place Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Holmes Place International has accumulated 41.63 M in total debt. Holmes Place Interna has a current ratio of 0.3, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Holmes Place until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Holmes Place's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Holmes Place Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Holmes to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Holmes Place's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 311.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.78 M. | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Holmes Stock
Holmes Place financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holmes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holmes with respect to the benefits of owning Holmes Place security.